March 24, 2025 โ Steven Mana โoakamai Johnson, a Cornell University professor who grew up on Saipan, has devoted his life to studying the ocean and how people in the Pacific depend on the fish in it to feed themselves and support their economies. Lately heโs been studying when they fight over them.
He has been working on a Pentagon-funded project called โFuture Fish Wars : Chasing Ocean Ecosystem Wealth, โ for which the military awarded a grant in 2023. It was looking at how illegal fishing, climate change and changing migration patterns of fish species could contribute to new conflicts between rival fishermen that could escalate into much larger confrontationsโlooking mostly at the Pacific and the Arctic.
โAll the fisheries climate research shows that thereโs going to be a reshuffling of the deck of where these trans-boundary fish stocks are going to end up, โ said Johnson. โIt might be important to understand, you know, what is the texture of that scenario ? Whoโs involved ? You know, where has fisheries conflict happened in the past, what was driving it ?โ
The South China Sea, once considered among the worldโs richest fishing grounds, has been depleted by years of industrialized fishing methods. Today, Chinese fishermenโbacked by the Chinese militaryโhave clashed violently with fishermen from neighboring countries, creating an increasingly militarized standoff. China has also sent its vast state-subsidized fishing fleet across the globe, with large groups of vessels descending on South Americaโs coastlines.